Update:The BCS Guru says he whiffed on Wisconsin and has written an apology with an explanation.
The formula is simple for Oregon and Auburn. Win and they're in the Bowl Championship Series title game on Jan. 10 in Glendale, Ariz.
The Ducks play at Oregon State and Auburn plays South Carolina in Atlanta this Saturday. If either loses, undefeated Texas Christian is ready to take their spot. If both lose, all hell breaks loose.
The intrigue starts at No. 4, according to the BCS Guru. He projects that Stanford will be in the coveted No. 4 slot, which guarantees a BCS bowl spot. But get this: Ohio State could edge in front of Wisconsin for the No. 5 slot when the official standings are released Sunday night. Didn't Wisconsin beat Ohio State? How can this be?
The Guru writes: "LSU's loss (to Arkansas) made the Wisconsin-Ohio State race much closer, because the Tigers were wedged between these two teams in the polls. So close that the Guru is calling Ohio State to edge slightly in front. Keep in mind that the Big Ten will send the highest-ranked team in the final BCS standings to the Rose Bowl, so this won't be decided until next week even though the Big Ten schedule is done."
Rounding out the Guru's top 10: No. 7 Arkansas, No. 8 Michigan State, No. 9 LSU and No. 10 Oklahoma.
The next five: No. 11 Boise State, No. 12 Oklahoma State, No. 13 Nebraska, No. 14 Missouri and No. 15 Nevada.
That's three Big Ten teams in the top eight and no Big East team in the top 15. Connecticut, which lost to a second-division Big Ten team (Michigan) and a third-place team from the Mid-American East Division (Temple), is one win from a berth to a BCS game. As the Guru writes, "The Big East is committing grand larceny."
What about Boise State? The Broncos are the biggest losers, falling from a likely BCS game to either the Kraft Fight Hunger or Humanitarian Bowl. The likely opponent would be a 6-6 team.